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Conversational energy analytics

Real questions, real data, real answers — from actual Pathfinder sessions.

Pathfinder — U.S. Annual Decarbonization Perspective 2024
BH
What are the key cost drivers in the electricity system by 2040?
Cost TypeSpending (Billion USD)
Capital225.7
Fixed O&M94.7
Transmission & Delivery36.9
Variable O&M13.6
Investment Tax Credits-12.4
Production Tax Credits-73.7
Capital investment dominates at $225.7B annually, driven primarily by solar and storage buildout. Federal tax credits offset $86.1B in costs, reducing the net burden by nearly 30%.
BH
How much renewable capacity is there by 2050 across scenarios?
Scenario2050 Capacity (GW)
100% Renewables2,594
Central High Data Center1,977
Central1,866
Central No IRA1,749
Current Policy1,514
Baseline761
Even the least ambitious decarbonization scenario nearly doubles today's renewable fleet. The Central scenario reaches 1,866 GW — a 7x increase from current levels.
Pathfinder — European Annual Decarbonization Perspective 2024
BH
How much renewable curtailment occurs in Germany across different scenarios in 2035?
Renewable Curtailment in Germany by Scenario (2035)
ScenarioCurtailment (GWh)
Slow Electrification4,787
90% by 20404,246
Limited Networks3,781
No Sequestration3,264
Core3,119
No New Nuclear3,007
Slow Electrification leads to the highest curtailment — lower demand can't absorb the renewable supply. The No New Nuclear scenario actually sees less curtailment, as the system substitutes renewables directly into baseload service.
BH
Show me wind generation by zone in 2035
United Kingdom leads with ~365 TWh, dominated by offshore wind. Germany follows at ~335 TWh with a mix of offshore and onshore. Northern European zones consistently achieve higher capacity factors, with offshore wind reaching 40–60% utilization.
Pathfinder — U.S. Energy Ensemble (100 Futures)
BH
What is the installed energy storage capacity in GWh in 2050?
Installed Energy Storage Capacity in 2050
TechnologyMedian (GWh)P05–P95 Range
Iron-air batteries634272 – 1,595
Li-ion (utility-scale)540101 – 1,274
Pumped storage267267 – 267
Hydrogen storage3625 – 67
CO₂ battery/dome3112 – 230
CAES (underground)254 – 93
Thermal energy storage2519 – 35
Iron-air batteries emerge as the largest storage technology by energy capacity, but with enormous uncertainty (272–1,595 GWh). Li-ion ranges just as widely. Meanwhile, newer technologies like CO₂ dome and CAES show order-of-magnitude uncertainty in deployment — their role depends heavily on which future unfolds.
BH
What is the range of natural gas capacity in 2035?
Natural gas capacity across all 100 futures spans 439–565 GW, with most outcomes clustering in a relatively narrow band:
MetricValue (GW)
Median (P50)499
P05–P95 Range463 – 550
Full Range439 – 565
The tight spread here is revealing — gas capacity is one of the most robust outcomes across all 100 futures. The system keeps roughly the same gas fleet in every scenario, even as renewable and storage deployment varies widely. The question isn't whether gas stays, but how often it runs.
From question to insight in seconds

Pathfinder handles the complexity so you can focus on the insights that matter.

1

Ask a question

Ask about capacity, costs, emissions, technology deployment, or any aspect of an analysis — in plain English.

2

AI analyzes

Pathfinder understands the structure of energy models, finds the relevant data, computes statistics, and determines the best way to present the answer.

3

Instant insights

Get interactive charts, maps, infographics, and downloadable data — the kind of outputs that used to take days, delivered in seconds.

What used to take days now takes seconds

Without Pathfinder

  • Write custom scripts to extract data from model outputs
  • Build charts manually in Excel or Python notebooks
  • Days of turnaround for each new analytical question
  • Expertise required to navigate model structure
  • Results locked in static reports and slide decks

With Pathfinder

  • Ask questions in plain English, get answers in seconds
  • Charts, tables, and infographics generated on the fly
  • Follow-up questions deepen the analysis instantly
  • Anyone on your team can explore the data directly
  • Export raw data, PDFs, and presentations anytime
Built for the people navigating the energy transition

Policy Analysts

Explore how different policy designs affect technology deployment, costs, and emissions across scenarios and regions.

Utility Planners

Investigate capacity expansion, transmission buildout, storage economics, and resource adequacy across long-term planning horizons.

Investors & Strategists

Assess technology competitiveness, market sizing, deployment timelines, and risk exposure across a wide range of plausible futures.

Researchers

Extract data for publications, compare model outcomes, and build on EER's analytical foundation with full export capabilities.

Next-level interaction with EER's data and analyses

Pathfinder gives you access to a curated set of datasets — available as part of a core subscription or developed during consulting engagements. These datasets are the fuel behind a natural language interface that lets you ask questions about our models, data, input assumptions, outputs, insights, and key takeaways.

Subscription Data Products

Always-current research at your fingertips

Subscribe to continuously updated datasets from our flagship analyses — including the Annual Decarbonization Perspective for the U.S. and Europe. New results are delivered as they're published, giving you a living connection to the most current energy transition research available.

Custom Engagement Datasets

Your analyses, always accessible

Datasets produced during consulting engagements live in Pathfinder alongside everything else. Your team can return to any past analysis, ask new questions, build new charts, and extract new value — long after the engagement is complete.

Across every dataset, you can explore capacity and deployment, generation and dispatch, investment and system costs, technology mix and market share, operational behavior, emissions trajectories, storage, transmission, and more — all through the same conversational interface.

The most comprehensive energy system model available — now accessible

RIO is the only capacity expansion model that co-optimizes across the entire energy economy — electricity, pipeline gas, hydrogen, liquid fuels, heat, and transport — in a single solve. Pathfinder lets you explore every dimension of that output.

Economy-Wide Co-Optimization

Not just the power sector. RIO simultaneously optimizes investment and operations across electricity, pipeline gas, hydrogen networks, liquid fuels, industrial heat, and transportation — capturing the sector coupling that drives real-world economics.

Unmatched Technology Breadth

From Allam-cycle power plants, molten salt reactors, and next-generation geothermal to iron-air batteries, compressed air, vanadium redox flow, liquid air, and CO₂ dome storage — plus electrified DRI steel, Fischer-Tropsch synthetic fuels, and thermal energy storage. RIO models technologies other platforms don't even have categories for.

Hourly Resolution, Every Carrier

Hourly dispatch for every energy carrier — not just electricity, but hydrogen, pipeline gas, heat, and liquid fuels. This temporal granularity is what makes it possible to accurately value flexible resources, long-duration storage, and variable renewables.

Integrated Infrastructure Expansion

Transmission topology, pipeline routing, and distribution feeder capacity are co-optimized with generation and storage — not treated as fixed inputs. The model decides what to build, where to build it, and when.

Endogenous Consumer Choice

Technology adoption isn't prescribed — it can be solved. RIO can endogenize consumer-level decision-making across vehicles, heating systems, industrial processes, and appliances, letting the economics determine the pace and direction of electrification.

Flexible Load & Demand-Side Value

Demand response, managed EV charging, flexible industrial processes, and thermal storage are optimized as system resources — capturing the full value of load flexibility alongside supply-side investment.

Explore the full landscape of energy futures

ENSEMBLE is an automated scenario generator built on top of RIO. Rather than finding a single least-cost answer, it systematically explores hundreds of near-optimal system configurations — delivering far greater coverage of potential futures and richer technology deployment pathways than traditional scenario analysis can achieve.

From one answer to the full range of good answers

Traditional models produce a single "optimal" pathway that depends heavily on input assumptions. ENSEMBLE generates 100+ complete system solutions, each within a small cost tolerance of the true optimum, revealing the diversity of viable futures the energy system could take.

Pathfinder makes this data accessible by automatically computing ensemble statistics — median, P5–P95 percentile bands, standard deviation — and presenting results through purpose-built fan charts and uncertainty visualizations.

100+ Alternative Futures Fan Charts P5–P95 Bands Robust vs. Sensitive

Greater Coverage

Hand-crafted scenarios explore a handful of futures. ENSEMBLE algorithmically finds orders of magnitude more viable configurations — capturing interactions and trade-offs that scenario analysis misses entirely.

Richer Technology Deployment

Every run is a complete, internally consistent system solution with its own technology mix, capacity deployment, and operational pattern — not a sensitivity on a single variable.

No-Regrets Decisions

Some investments appear in virtually every near-optimal solution. Others swing dramatically. ENSEMBLE shows you which decisions are robust — and where flexibility has the highest value.

Mine the market prices

Emporium is our production cost model — simulating real-world electricity market operations with detailed unit commitment, multi-sector coupling, and hourly price formation across interconnected regions.

Through Pathfinder, every simulated market price, dispatch decision, and revenue stream becomes explorable and downloadable. Explore locational marginal prices, generator revenues, curtailment economics, storage arbitrage value, and reserve costs — then export the raw data for your own analysis.

Paired with ENSEMBLE, Emporium becomes even more powerful. Running market simulations across hundreds of alternative capacity buildouts reveals that deployment uncertainty — not fuel prices or demand growth — is by far the greatest source of risk to market revenues. Pathfinder lets you explore that risk surface directly.

Market Prices Generator Revenue Dispatch Economics Deployment Risk Data Export
More than a chat interface

Pathfinder is also the platform for interacting with our custom visualizations, geospatial analyses, and other research products.

Geospatial Analysis

Downscaled mapping of candidate project areas, land-use impacts, siting constraints, and transmission corridors — the same spatial detail behind our landmark national analyses.

Custom EER Visualizations

Visualizations designed to tell the story of the energy transition — not generic charts, but narrative-driven graphics that surface the insights and communicate them clearly. Generated on the fly and fully interactive.

Data Export & Reports

Download any result as CSV, or generate polished PDF reports and PowerPoint presentations ready for stakeholders and decision-makers.

Ready to explore your model results?

Send a request for a trial license that includes our most recent U.S. Ensemble.